SKN ST. Poltenvs
Austria Salzburg
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 8/28/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria Salzburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SKN ST. Polten 1-0 Austria Salzburg
Original prediction
Austria Salzburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 47.0% | 33.2% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.7% | 26.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 26.3% | 40.7% | 14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Austria Salzburg
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Austria Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40