Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skála · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Skála are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while B68 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Skála hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (36.2 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Meistaradeildin, while Skála holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skála
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
13.6%
Skála has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80