Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skála · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Skála are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.33 conceded, while B36 II are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Skála hold a 40.7-point power-rating edge (83.7 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.5% in the 1. Deild, while Skála holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skála
Probability
87.5%
Model confidence
87.5%
Skála has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.33
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33