Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AB · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Skála are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while AB are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AB hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (36.2 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Meistaradeildin, while AB holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AB
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
13.5%
AB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00