Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skála · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skála 1-1 07 Vestur
Original prediction
Skála
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.0% | 49.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 26.0% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 25.0% | 24.1% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Skála
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Skála has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkálaWWLLW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
07 VesturDLWLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Skála07 Vestur
33.3Attack28.3
46.7Defence40.0
33.3Form28.3
40.5Power34.8
1.33xG0.83