Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skjetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skjetten 3-2 Tromsø II
Original prediction
Skjetten
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.1% | 49.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.1% | 22.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 24.9% | 27.4% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Skjetten
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Skjetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkjettenDLWLL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Tromsø IILLDWL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SkjettenTromsø II
72.0Attack100.0
56.0Defence50.0
57.3Form66.7
61.0Power71.2
2.75xG1.76