Skjettenvs
Kongsvinger II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 10/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skjetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skjetten 3-4 Kongsvinger II
Original prediction
Skjetten
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.0% | 53.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.54 | 19.9% | 22.7% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 25.1% | 24.3% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Skjetten
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Skjetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20