Skjervøyvs
Kongsvinger II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kongsvinger II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skjervøy 3-1 Kongsvinger II
Original prediction
Kongsvinger II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.7% | 35.9% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 21.9% | 24.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.4% | 39.2% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Kongsvinger II
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Kongsvinger II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00