Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skive · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skive 1-2 Naestved
Original prediction
Skive
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.0% | 40.1% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.0% | 27.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.1% | 32.8% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Skive
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Skive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkiveLWLLW
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NaestvedLDWDW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
SkiveNaestved
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence58.3
50.0Form41.7
51.8Power47.4
1.48xG1.13