Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naestved · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Skive are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Naestved are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Naestved hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the 2. Division, while Naestved holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Naestved
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
12.9%
Naestved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80