Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skive · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skive 2-0 HIK
Original prediction
Skive
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.6% | 43.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.1% | 28.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.3% | 27.7% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Skive
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Skive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkiveLWDDL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HIKDLLLW
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SkiveHIK
40.7Attack29.6
55.6Defence40.7
40.7Form29.6
48.0Power36.5
1.61xG0.75