Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skive · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skive 2-0 FA 2000
Original prediction
Skive
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.8% | 60.8% | 11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.4% | 22.0% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.8% | 17.3% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Skive
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Skive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkiveLWLWD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FA 2000DLLLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SkiveFA 2000
39.4Attack33.3
54.5Defence30.3
42.4Form18.2
47.4Power30.6
1.86xG0.79