Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Skive are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Esbjerg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Esbjerg hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the DBU Pokalen, while Skive holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skive
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
7.5%
Skive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20