Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esbjerg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Skive are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Esbjerg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Esbjerg hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 76.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.7% in the 2. Division, while Esbjerg holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Esbjerg
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
65.7%
Esbjerg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00