Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
B 93 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skive 2-1 B 93
Original prediction
B 93
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.3% | 37.4% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 25.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.7% | 37.5% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
B 93
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
B 93 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkiveDDLLW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
B 93DDDWL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SkiveB 93
42.9Attack52.4
52.4Defence47.6
38.1Form42.9
46.6Power48.0
1.46xG1.35