GGOALVIO

Denmark · 2. Division · 8/18/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aarhus Fremad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Skive are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aarhus Fremad are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aarhus Fremad hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the 2. Division, while Aarhus Fremad holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aarhus Fremad

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Aarhus Fremad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SkiveWWLLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Aarhus FremadWWDWL

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SkiveAarhus Fremad
55.6Attack65.6
33.3Defence57.3
33.3Form61.5
42.2Power61.4
1.32xG2.08
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