Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Skiljebo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Uppsala are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 51.3-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 18.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
92.0%
Model confidence
92.0%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80