Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skiljebo 1-0 Täby
Original prediction
Skiljebo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.3% | 50.1% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 21.9% | 24.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.13 | 21.8% | 25.3% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkiljeboWWWDW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
TäbyWDDWL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SkiljeboTäby
80.3Attack59.1
63.6Defence63.6
75.8Form57.6
73.4Power60.3
2.01xG1.16