Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Skiljebo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Täby are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 64.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20