Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skiljebo 2-2 Sunnersta
Original prediction
Sunnersta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.3% | 35.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.2% | 22.4% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.5% | 42.1% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkiljeboWWWWW
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SunnerstaLWWWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SkiljeboSunnersta
79.6Attack83.3
63.0Defence72.2
74.1Form74.1
72.4Power74.7
1.53xG1.74