Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Skiljebo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sunnersta are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunnersta hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 78.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Sunnersta holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
11.5%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40