Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Skiljebo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lidingö are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
85.5%
Model confidence
12.9%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67