Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Skiljebo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Korsnäs are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 43.1-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.1% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
92.1%
Model confidence
92.1%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40