Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Skiljebo are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Karlberg are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 72.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.00