Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Skiljebo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Järfälla are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60