Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Skiljebo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gute are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.6% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
74.6%
Model confidence
74.6%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60