Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Skiljebo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gute are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.6% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
74.6%
Model confidence
74.6%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00