Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Skiljebo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Franke are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20