Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Skiljebo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Arlanda are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
60.3%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40