Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skiljebo 4-0 Angby
Original prediction
Skiljebo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.2% | 49.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.6% | 21.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 25.2% | 29.1% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkiljeboLWWWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AngbyLWWLW
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SkiljeboAngby
74.7Attack77.3
65.3Defence61.3
74.7Form68.0
72.0Power67.1
1.93xG1.48