Skenderbeu Korcevs
Tirana
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 9/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tirana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skenderbeu Korce 1-1 Tirana
Original prediction
Tirana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.9% | 33.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.6% | 28.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.4% | 38.0% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Tirana
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Tirana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Skenderbeu KorceLLDLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TiranaWLLWW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Skenderbeu KorceTirana
0.0Attack51.9
66.7Defence54.6
0.0Form46.3
23.7Power52.2
1.16xG1.39