Skenderbeu Korcevs
AF Elbasani
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AF Elbasani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skenderbeu Korce 2-1 AF Elbasani
Original prediction
AF Elbasani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.24 | 27.8% | 30.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.7% | 28.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 44.5% | 41.5% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
AF Elbasani
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
AF Elbasani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40