Skellefteåvs
Täfteå
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 9/16/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skellefteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skellefteå 1-2 Täfteå
Original prediction
Skellefteå
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.5% | 61.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.4% | 18.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.21 | 17.2% | 20.8% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Skellefteå
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Skellefteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80