Skellefteåvs
IFK Östersund
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skellefteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skellefteå 2-2 IFK Östersund
Original prediction
Skellefteå
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.8% | 70.5% | 17.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.8% | 15.8% | -7.9 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.4% | 13.7% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Skellefteå
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
70.5%
Skellefteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60