Skellefteåvs
Boden
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skellefteå · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skellefteå 2-2 Boden
Original prediction
Skellefteå
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.4% | 71.5% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.1% | 17.3% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 5.83 | 15.5% | 11.2% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Skellefteå
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Skellefteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60