Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skeid · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skeid 4-0 Ull/Kisa
Original prediction
Skeid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.8% | 60.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 19.6% | 17.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.10 | 17.6% | 22.1% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Skeid
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Skeid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkeidLWLLL
GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ull/KisaWLLLL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SkeidUll/Kisa
47.8Attack43.5
24.6Defence0.0
29.0Form18.8
34.7Power23.9
2.94xG1.80