Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kjelsås · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 0-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skeid 4-1 Kjelsås
Original prediction
Kjelsås
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.52 | 20.0% | 12.7% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.3% | 15.2% | -8.1 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 56.7% | 72.1% | 15.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.0–38%
Predicted outcome
Kjelsås
Probability
72.1%
Model confidence
72.1%
Kjelsås has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkeidDLLLL
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KjelsåsWWLWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SkeidKjelsås
45.1Attack76.5
31.4Defence56.9
27.5Form78.4
35.4Power71.0
1.16xG3.33