Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Follo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Skeid II are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 2.50 scored and 4.50 conceded, while Follo are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 1.75 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Follo hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 83.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.6% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Follo holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Follo
Probability
75.6%
Model confidence
75.6%
Follo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 2.50/4.50
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.75/2.25