Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skedsmo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skedsmo 7-0 Ulfstind
Original prediction
Skedsmo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 88.1% | 57.1% | -31.1 pts |
| Draw | 11.09 | 8.3% | 21.5% | 13.3 pts |
| Away | 25.33 | 3.6% | 21.4% | 17.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Skedsmo
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Skedsmo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkedsmoWWDWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UlfstindLLLLL
GF 6 · GA 23 · avg 1.20/4.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SkedsmoUlfstind
100.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
82.3Power15.3
3.29xG1.69