Skedsmovs
Lillestrøm II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skedsmo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skedsmo 2-1 Lillestrøm II
Original prediction
Skedsmo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.1% | 38.9% | -18.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.87 | 18.4% | 24.6% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.5% | 36.5% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Skedsmo
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Skedsmo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 20 · GA 9 · avg 4.00/1.80