Skedsmovs
Kongsvinger II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skedsmo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (8%), 5-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skedsmo 5-1 Kongsvinger II
Original prediction
Skedsmo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 80.8% | 77.7% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 7.73 | 11.7% | 11.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 11.95 | 7.5% | 10.9% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–18%
- 2.5–17%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Skedsmo
Probability
77.7%
Model confidence
77.7%
Skedsmo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 16 · GA 14 · avg 3.20/2.80