Skaravs
Vänersborgs IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skara · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (13%), 5-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skara 5-0 Vänersborgs IF
Original prediction
Skara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.3% | 86.4% | 13.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.73 | 15.7% | 8.8% | -6.9 pts |
| Away | 8.18 | 11.0% | 4.7% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.4–013%
- 3.5–011%
Predicted outcome
Skara
Probability
86.4%
Model confidence
86.4%
Skara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20