Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skara · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skara 6-2 Motala
Original prediction
Skara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.4% | 71.9% | 13.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.3% | 15.9% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 20.3% | 12.2% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Skara
Probability
71.9%
Model confidence
71.9%
Skara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkaraWWLWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MotalaLLWLD
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SkaraMotala
69.3Attack48.0
65.3Defence45.3
74.7Form34.7
70.2Power43.4
2.69xG0.85