Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skara · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skara 1-2 Dalstorps
Original prediction
Skara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 06:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.7% | 40.4% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 27.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.7% | 32.0% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Skara
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Skara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkaraWWWLW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DalstorpsWWWDW
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SkaraDalstorps
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24