1. Liga1. Liga
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Skanste

Skanste

Home
L
03
Full time
Valmiera / BSS

Valmiera / BSS

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
55% confidence
Draw(25%)
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Skanste
20%
Draw
25%
Valmiera / BSS
55%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Skanste
9
Valmiera / BSS
99
Defence
Skanste
6
Valmiera / BSS
66
Momentum
Skanste
0
Valmiera / BSS
100
Danger (xG)
Skanste
0.00
Valmiera / BSS
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Skanste)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Valmiera / BSS)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Skanste)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Valmiera / BSS)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SkansteSkanste
LW
Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS
LWWL

Probability breakdown

55% confidence
Skanste20%
Draw25%
Valmiera / BSS55%

Valmiera / BSS leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Skanste head into this in 1. Liga fixture in mixed form (L), while Valmiera / BSS arrive in mixed form (W). Skanste have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Valmiera / BSS over 1 games.

Tactically, Valmiera / BSS hold the edge. Their elite attack (99/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Skanste defence (6/100), while Skanste's attack faces a solid Valmiera / BSS backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Skanste have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Valmiera / BSS have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Skanste and Valmiera / BSS in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 55% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Skanste 1985%, Draw 2522%, Valmiera / BSS 5493%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Skanste

Skanste

L
vs JFK Ventspils
11 Jul 2026
03
W
@ Smiltene
28 Jun 2026
42
Valmiera / BSS

Valmiera / BSS

L
vs Ogre United
12 Jul 2026
24
W
vs Leevon / PPK
5 Jul 2026
41
W
@ Smiltene
22 Jun 2026
41
L
@ Riga Mariners
16 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Skanste vs Valmiera / BSS?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 55% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Skanste vs Valmiera / BSS?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Skanste vs Valmiera / BSS?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Skanste vs Valmiera / BSS?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more