Skalicavs
Spartak Trnava
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Super Liga · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Trnava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skalica 1-1 Spartak Trnava
Original prediction
Spartak Trnava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.08 | 22.5% | 12.5% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.2% | 16.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 52.4% | 71.4% | 19.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Trnava
Probability
71.4%
Model confidence
71.4%
Spartak Trnava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60