GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/23/2023, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tyumen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ska-khabarovsk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tyumen are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tyumen hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the First League, while Tyumen holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tyumen

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Tyumen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ska-khabarovskWLLWL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TyumenWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Ska-khabarovskTyumen
22.2Attack35.3
38.9Defence65.7
16.7Form47.1
28.8Power50.8
0.67xG1.12
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