GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/16/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ska-khabarovsk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Shinnik Yaroslavl are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shinnik Yaroslavl hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the First League, while Shinnik Yaroslavl holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ska-khabarovskLLWLW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shinnik YaroslavlWLLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ska-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
22.2Attack50.0
38.9Defence55.6
16.7Form50.0
28.8Power53.0
0.86xG1.53
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