SKA Khabarovsk IIvs
Ryazan
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SKA Khabarovsk II 3-1 Ryazan
Original prediction
Ryazan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.42 | 16.6% | 13.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 20.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 60.7% | 66.0% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Ryazan
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 0 · avg 1.80/0.00