SKA Khabarovsk IIvs
Arsenal Tula II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SKA Khabarovsk II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SKA Khabarovsk II 0-0 Arsenal Tula II
Original prediction
SKA Khabarovsk II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 54.1% | 64.4% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.8% | 19.4% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 4.32 | 21.1% | 16.2% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
SKA Khabarovsk II
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
SKA Khabarovsk II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00