SK Vorwarts Steyrvs
TSV Hartberg
COMPLETEDAustria · Cup · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TSV Hartberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SK Vorwarts Steyr 0-4 TSV Hartberg
Original prediction
TSV Hartberg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 27.33 | 3.5% | 29.0% | 25.6 pts |
| Draw | 26.00 | 3.6% | 20.3% | 16.6 pts |
| Away | 1.02 | 92.9% | 50.7% | -42.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-42.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
TSV Hartberg
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
TSV Hartberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60