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Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:09
SK Vorwarts Steyr

SK Vorwarts Steyr

Home
D
31
Full time
Leoben

Leoben

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Leoben33%
SK Vorwarts Steyr33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
SK Vorwarts Steyr
33%
Draw
33%
Leoben
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.80 xG for SK Vorwarts Steyr and 1.10 xG for Leoben — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Leoben holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — SK Vorwarts Steyr finding the net in 9 of 10 matches and Leoben in 7 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.90 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (SK Vorwarts Steyr)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (SK Vorwarts Steyr)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SK Vorwarts SteyrSK Vorwarts Steyr
DLL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
SK Vorwarts Steyr33%
Draw33%
Leoben33%

Leoben leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

SK Vorwarts Steyr Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

SK Vorwarts Steyr host Leoben in Friendlies Clubs. SK Vorwarts Steyr have recorded DLLDWW in recent matches while Leoben arrive with a run of LLLLLL. These sides have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.80 for SK Vorwarts Steyr and 1.10 for Leoben. The gap of 0.71 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • SK Vorwarts Steyr have been conceding 3.84 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

SK Vorwarts Steyr

SK Vorwarts Steyr

D
@ Wiener Viktoria
10 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Bad Schallerbach
13 Jun 2026
24
L
vs Union Vöcklamarkt
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win SK Vorwarts Steyr vs Leoben?

GoalVio's model predicts SK Vorwarts Steyr to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for SK Vorwarts Steyr vs Leoben?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in SK Vorwarts Steyr vs Leoben?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SK Vorwarts Steyr vs Leoben?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more